PENERAPAN METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DALAM APLIKASI PERAMALAN PENCAIRAN KREDIT PADA PT. BPR MAGGA JAYA UTAMA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31253/algor.v5i1.2409Keywords:
Data Mining, Forecast, Single Exponential SmoothingAbstract
This research aims to apply the single exponential smoothing method in forecasting credit disbursement at PT. BPR Magga Jaya Utama. The single exponential smoothing method is a forecasting method that is suitable for forecasting time series data with a stable trend. Credit disbursement data at PT. BPR Magga Jaya Utama during the period January 2020 to December 2022 was used as research data. Data was analyzed using Microsoft Excel software. The research results show that the single exponential smoothing method can provide credit disbursement forecasting with a high level of accuracy. The resulting forecasting model can be used as a reference in making decisions regarding credit disbursement at PT. BPR Magga Jaya Utama. In this research, the best alpha value for the single exponential smoothing method was 0.3, with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of 3.94%. In conclusion, this research proves that the single exponential smoothing method can be applied in forecasting credit disbursement at PT. BPR Magga Jaya Utama. Accurate forecasting results can help PT. BPR Magga Jaya Utama in making better and more appropriate decisions regarding credit disbursement.
Downloads
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Verga Tandika, Indah Fenriana
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
The Authors submitting a manuscript do so on the understanding that if accepted for publication, the copyright of the article shall be assigned to the journal Algor, Universitas Buddhi Dharma as the publisher of the journal.
Copyright encompasses exclusive rights to reproduce and deliver the article in all forms and media, including reprints, photographs, microfilms, and any other similar reproductions, as well as translations. The reproduction of any part of this journal, its storage in databases, and its transmission by any form or media, such as electronic, electrostatic, and mechanical copies, photocopies, recordings, magnetic media, etc., will be allowed only with written permission from journal Algor.
journal Algor, the Editors, and the Advisory Editorial Board make every effort to ensure that no wrong or misleading data, opinions, or statements be published in the journal. In any way, the contents of the articles and advertisements published in the journal Tech-E, Universitas Buddhi Dharma are the sole and exclusive responsibility of their respective authors and advertisers.